Jul 5, 2025 14:02 IST
First Published on: Jul 5, 2025 at 14:01 IST
President Donald Trump’s Initiation at the White House was a promise contrary to the new world vision of stable diplomatic ties, Greener Economies, Free Trade and Reversing Decades of Tax Cuts. Embarking on a journey to “Make America Great Again”, Trump Unveiled the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB). The bill Quickly Turned Friends Into Foes, Not Least Among Policy Experts, WHO DREAD THE LARGE FISCAL Costs. The obb, now passed by bot houses of congress and soon to be a reality, proposes to raise the debt ceiling as well as extend tax cuts and deduction into the tax cuts and Jobs Act, 2017, whicke This year. The proposed tax cuts come at the cost of medicalaid, the food stamps program and energy tax credits, all of which are expected to shrink. The committee for a responsible federal budget, a washington-based non-profit, estimates that the tax change, if temporary, will cost $ 3.4 Trillion in the NEXT DEFICITS Over the NEXT DECADE and Add $ 4.1 trailion. Debt. In Sharp Contrast, The Joint Committee on Taxation, At the Request of the Senate Gop, has pegged the costs at a far lower $ 442 billion. This is mainly arrived at through innovative accounting.
Under All Estimates, The Bill Sems Set to Deliver a Positive Macroconomic Impact, Although The Optimism Get Pred Down When considering the implication of these implication for low-interpoles and for the furture. Economy. The Joint Committee on Taxation Estimates That The Resources Available to Households in the Lowest Decile Will Decrease, Where That For The Top Decile Will Increase. The Reduction of Taxes on Overtime Work and Tips Through 2028 Is Meant to Enclusivity. Yet this is quite insignificant in comparison to the fiscal impact of other tax measures.
With Trump’s Assurance that America was going to Drill Away, the removal of tax beefits to the clear energy sector is hardly a surprise. The obb is set to close the existing commercial and consumer tax credit under the inflation reduction act (IRA). The obsolescence of the Measure could be ill thought-out as the American Shale Industry is at the mercy of opc.
To “make America Great Again”, Trump Advocated Recklessly for Inward-LOOKING policies such as tariff hikes, taxes on remittances and immigration control, all of which attempts to negotiate tradeles. This is the Retreat from the Global Tax Deal While Getting Countries Like India and Canada to Stall their affors to apply a digital services tax. The proposals to apply additional income taxes on payments Made to Persons Minimum rate – are clear negotiation tactics that seem to pay off making it a propitious time for large us corporations.
Caught in the fire is the federal reserve, which has adopted a wait-andwatch approach. The tariff, if carried through, can set off inflationary effects that may be exacerbated where international oil prices spike if temmers soar in west asia. As the world watches the us manoeuvre through International Political and Domestic Economic Headwinds, there is no doubt that us debt is expected to rise, More so if badgets are to to grows. But is the world Willing to hold this debt? The US-Aran Conflict has further convoluted diplomatic ties in the region and has economists guessing about what this may mean for the future. If political stress flares, central banks will have to resume an attentive position. If that is the case, the us will also have to rethink its borrowing plans and tax cuts. The yield of the 10-yar us treasury is among the highst in its s & p rating class, and with the recent moody’s rating cut, the question is if it can barrow additionally atvailing costs. A pause on interest rate Reductions would have the costs of borrowing. In spite of the elevated interest rates that pose a domestic fiscal problem, a third of us treasuries are Held Abroad and are largely with japan, china and the uk. The willingness of these countries to buy the t-bills will also determine the us’s prospects of delivering tax cuts. Given that us is no longer playing a reliable arbiter, with policy drive by temperament, the current of its government seconds may not be unafected. The promised return of the Economic Glory May Be delayed for the us and now the beauty of the bill may only lie in the eye of the bear.
The Writer is Associate Professor, Nipfp